Andy Schooler looks at the most eye-catching matches on Sunday’s order of play at Wimbledon 2025 – and picks out his best bets for them.
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Centre stage
Sonay Kartal v Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (1st on Centre Court – 1330 BST)
This second quarter of the draw always looked likely to produce a surprise semi-finalist but few would have put either of these two in the last eight.
One of them will reach that stage but the bookies are struggling to decide which.
There should certainly be a cracking atmosphere as the home fans get behind Kartal and a close match can be expected – it’s 11/8 it goes the distance.
I’ve liked the way Kartal has been able to get opponents on the run and she’s also able to absorb pressure – Pavlyuchenkova will throw some heavy groundstrokes her way.
However, the Russian has never been the greatest mover, especially on this surface, and I’m edging towards Kartal grabbing another massive win.
Best of British
Nicolas Jarry v Cameron Norrie (2nd on Court 1)
Jarry has held serve in 96% of his service games so far at Wimbledon and looks to be in the groove right now.
He’s beaten seed Holger Rune, plus rising stars Learner Tien and Joao Fonseca to reach this stage and it’s worth noting that in the pair’s only previous tour-level meeting, the Chilean held serve throughout a straight-sets win.
Admittedly, that was several years ago now and Norrie has himself been returning to something like his best form over the past couple of months – here he’s defeated Roberto Bautista Agut, Frances Tiafoe and Mattia Bellucci.
However, I think the prices may be factoring in the patriotic punter here.
Jarry has a strong record against left-handers – he has an overall career win rate of 59% but against lefties that rises to 63%.
The way he’s serving right now should make things difficult for the Briton and I can see the underdog coming through this one.
Show time
Andrey Rublev v Carlos Alcaraz (3rd on Centre Court)
On what doesn’t look the greatest day in Wimbledon history – bring back the rest day and Manic Monday, I say – I’ve picked this match out, largely because there are sure to be some spectacular baseline rallies.
That said, I’m not sure it’s going to be too competitive.
Rublev has too often crumbled when the level of opposition has risen at the Grand Slams – a look through the history books shows he’s 0-10 against those ranked in the top five at a Grand Slam.
Eight of those have been lost in straight sets and 17/20 about that outcome looks fair enough.
Rublev has failed to create a break point in the two matches these two have played in slick conditions and I suspect he’ll struggle on return again here.
However, he has also been holding serve with regularity across the first three rounds – 97% holds so far – and so a first-set tie-break has potential.
